3/6/2024 0 Comments Ascendant rising wedgeWhat determines a rising power’s orientation toward the declining state? Shifrinson follows realist theory in identifying material causes. Relegation and weakening are predatory strategies bolstering and strengthening are supportive ones. 3Īccording to Shifrinson, the combination of goals and means lead to four ideal types of strategies that rising states can pursue: relegation (intense efforts to undermine the great-power status of the declining power) weakening (undermining a declining state’s position gradually through limited efforts) bolstering (a less costly method of arresting a further deterioration of the declining state’s power) or strengthening (determined efforts by the rising state to prevent the declining state from falling out of the ranks of the great powers). Less intense means - aimed either at predation or supporting the declining state -are defined by a more gradual pace. 2 Intense means seek a change or preservation of the declining state’s power position in the near future. Or the rising power may pursue a supportive goal of attempting to halt or restrain the declining state’s loss of power. A rising power may adopt a predatory goal of seeking to undermine the declining state’s relative position as much as possible. Based on these two variables - goal and means - Shifrinson develops a typology of strategies that a rising power may pursue toward a declining power. 1 Indeed, Shifrinson shows that rising powers may provide assistance to a declining rival, if it is in their strategic interests to do so.Ī rising power’s goal and choice of means influence its strategy toward the declining power. In this respect, Joshua Shifrinson’s new book, Rising Titans, Falling Giants, breaks new ground. While much has been written about the strategies of rising powers, and whether they are likely to go to war to attain hegemony, very little has been written about their stance toward declining states. Motivated by the rise of China and the resurgence of Russia, scholars have devoted increasing effort to explaining the dynamics of great power transitions. Introduction: Rising Power Strategies toward Declining States: Is There a Goal?
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